California
W-L: (17-34) PR = 91.3316Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 3- 8 207 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 2-15 207 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 2-10 208 H San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 1- 0 208 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 213 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 8- 2 213 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 2- 7 214 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 9- 4 214 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 4- 8 215 A Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 8- 4 219 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 14- 1 220 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 4- 5 220 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 3- 8 221 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 5- 7 222 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 5-19 222 A Howard MEAC ( 2- 9, 88.9) 226 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 6- 7 226 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0- 8 227 H Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 4- 3 228 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 6- 3 228 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 3- 9 301 H East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 16- 0 301 H East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 16- 0 306 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 0-12 307 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 308 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 2- 7 310 A Pacific WC ( 2-12, 89.7) 6- 5 313 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6-11 314 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6- 5 315 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 5-13 320 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 2-12 321 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 9 322 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 1- 9 325 A Dayton A10 ( 1- 8, 87.7) 12- 7 325 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 3-10 328 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 2- 1 329 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 10- 2 329 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 7- 9 402 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 7- 5 403 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 3- 6 404 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 2-12 410 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 8-14 411 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 4- 5 412 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 9-10 416 A Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 3- 6 418 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 5-13 418 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 1- 9 424 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1-17 425 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 0- 8 426 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 501 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 6-14 502 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 11- 0 503 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 9- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Oklahoma State 3- 8 -5 -5 0.03
207 A Oklahoma State 2-15 -13 -7 --- -6.48
207 A San José State 2-10 -8 1 --- -8.68
208 A Stanford 2- 7 -5 -6 0.74
213 A Santa Clara 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.72
213 H Utah 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.76
214 A UC San Diego 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.82
214 A Santa Clara 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.28
215 A Illinois State 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 5.19
219 A UC San Diego 14- 1 13 0 +++ 12.82
220 A Fresno State 4- 5 -1 -1 0.01
220 A Nevada 3- 8 -5 -5 -0.14
221 H Oklahoma 5- 7 -2 -8 ++ 5.83
222 H Auburn 5-19 -14 -3 --- -11.32
226 A BYU 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.17
226 H Florida 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.38
227 H Seattle U 4- 3 1 -1 1.97
228 A Oregon State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.02
228 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 9 -6 -4 -1.77
301 H East Texas A&M 16- 0 16 6 +++ 7.81
301 H East Texas A&M 16- 0 16 6 +++ 7.81
306 H Duke 0-12 -12 -5 --- -7.46
307 H Duke 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.54
308 H Duke 2- 7 -5 -5 -0.46
310 A Pacific 6- 5 1 1 0.14
313 H North Carolina 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.29
314 H North Carolina 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.71
315 H North Carolina 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.29
320 A Florida State 2-12 -10 -7 - -3.11
321 A Florida State 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.11
322 A Florida State 1- 9 -8 -7 -1.11
325 A Dayton 12- 7 5 3 + 2.15
325 A Ohio State 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.74
328 H FIU 2- 1 1 -1 1.57
329 A Notre Dame 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 10.40
329 A Notre Dame 7- 9 -2 -2 0.40
402 H Louisville 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.48
403 H Louisville 3- 6 -3 -3 0.48
404 H Louisville 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.52
410 A NC State 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.82
411 A NC State 4- 5 -1 -2 1.18
412 A NC State 9-10 -1 -2 1.18
416 A Cal State Northridge 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.86
418 A UCLA 5-13 -8 -9 0.96
418 A UCLA 1- 9 -8 -9 0.96
424 H Stanford 1-17 -16 -4 --- -9.74
425 A Missouri State 0- 8 -8 0 --- -7.79
501 A Pittsburgh 6-14 -8 0 --- -7.88
502 A Pittsburgh 11- 0 11 0 +++ 11.12
503 A Pittsburgh 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Oklahoma State 2-15 -13 -7 --- -6.48 207 A San José State 2-10 -8 1 --- -8.68 222 H Auburn 5-19 -14 -3 --- -11.32 306 H Duke 0-12 -12 -5 --- -7.46 315 H North Carolina 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.29 404 H Louisville 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.52 424 H Stanford 1-17 -16 -4 --- -9.74 425 A Missouri State 0- 8 -8 0 --- -7.79 501 A Pittsburgh 6-14 -8 0 --- -7.88 214 A Santa Clara 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.28 416 A Cal State Northridge 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.86 226 H Florida 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.38 313 H North Carolina 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.29 320 A Florida State 2-12 -10 -7 - -3.11 321 A Florida State 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.11 325 A Ohio State 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.74 410 A NC State 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A UC San Diego 14- 1 13 0 +++ 12.82 301 H East Texas A&M 16- 0 16 6 +++ 7.81 301 H East Texas A&M 16- 0 16 6 +++ 7.81 329 A Notre Dame 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 10.40 502 A Pittsburgh 11- 0 11 0 +++ 11.12 503 A Pittsburgh 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.12 213 A Santa Clara 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.72 214 A UC San Diego 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.82 215 A Illinois State 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 5.19 221 H Oklahoma 5- 7 -2 -8 ++ 5.83 402 H Louisville 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.48 228 A Oregon State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.02 307 H Duke 1- 3 -2 -5 + 2.54 314 H North Carolina 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.71 325 A Dayton 12- 7 5 3 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.49 -0.87
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 2-15 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.49 -0.51
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 2-10 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.49 -2.28
3 H San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 1- 0 -9.99 9.38 -0.74 0.49 8.54
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.49 -0.70
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 8- 2 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.49 10.40
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 2- 7 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.49 -1.32
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 9- 4 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.49 10.49
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 4- 8 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.49 -2.19
3 A Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 8- 4 -8.12 11.25 0.74 0.49 11.85
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 14- 1 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.49 10.49
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 4- 5 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.49 -1.87
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 3- 8 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.49 -0.92
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 5- 7 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.49 -0.18
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 5-19 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.49 -1.46
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 6- 7 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.49 -1.91
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0- 8 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.49 -0.73
3 H Seattle U ( 2- 4, 93.0) 4- 3 -6.86 12.51 -0.74 0.49 11.64
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 6- 3 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.49 10.69
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 3- 9 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.49 -1.07
3 H East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 16- 0 -14.02 5.35 -0.74 0.49 4.56
3 H East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 16- 0 -14.02 5.35 -0.74 0.49 4.56
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 0-12 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.00
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.00
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 2- 7 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.00
3 A Pacific ( 2-12, 89.7) 6- 5 -10.17 9.20 0.74 0.49 9.83
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6-11 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.49 -1.69
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6- 5 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.49 12.37
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 5-13 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.49 -1.69
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 2-12 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.49 -0.42
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 9 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.49 -0.42
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 1- 9 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.49 -0.42
3 A Dayton ( 1- 8, 87.7) 12- 7 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.49 7.86
3 A Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 3-10 -6.05 13.32 0.74 0.49 -1.31
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 2- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.49 11.24
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 10- 2 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.49 13.05
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 7- 9 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.49 -1.52
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 7- 5 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.49 14.12
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 3- 6 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.49 -1.26
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 2-12 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.49 -1.26
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 8-14 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.49 -1.58
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 4- 5 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.49 -1.58
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 9-10 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.49 -1.58
3 A Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 3- 6 -11.17 8.20 0.74 0.49 -2.58
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 5-13 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.49 -0.10
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 1- 9 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.49 -0.10
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1-17 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.49 -1.07
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 0- 8 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.49 -2.07
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 6-14 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.49 -2.09
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 11- 0 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.49 10.80
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 9- 1 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.49 10.80
------
131.59
|
winning pts = 173.2802 losing points = -41.6932
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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